Tariffs Are Here. Here Are the Grocery Items Expected to Become More Expensive

Donald Trump’s latest round of tariffs on America’s biggest trading partners—Canada, Mexico, and China—was set to impact nearly every sector of daily life, from grocery shopping to gas prices and even car manufacturing. However, on Monday, Trump announced a 30-day pause on tariffs against Mexico and Canada as negotiations continue over border security and drug trafficking concerns.

While this temporary halt provides a brief reprieve for consumers and businesses, uncertainty remains about whether tariffs will eventually take effect, potentially driving up prices across the board. At the same time, China has hit back with its own set of economic measures, escalating tensions and fueling concerns about a broader trade war.

Here’s what you need to know about the potential future impact of tariffs and steps you can take to save money.

China Retaliates with Tariffs and Trade Measures

In response to the Trump administration’s 10 percent tariffs on Chinese imports, Beijing has announced countermeasures that target a range of American goods and companies. China’s Ministry of Finance imposed tariffs on:

15 percent on certain types of coal and liquefied natural gas
10 percent on crude oil, agricultural machinery, large-displacement cars, and pickup trucks

These tariffs are set to take effect on February 10, potentially impacting U.S. energy, agriculture, and auto industries. Additionally, China’s Ministry of Commerce has implemented new export controls on over two dozen metal products and technologies, including tungsten and tellurium, which are crucial for industrial and defense applications.

Further escalating tensions, China added two American firms, Illumina and PVH Group (owner of Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger), to its unreliable entities list, citing market trading violations. Moreover, China has launched an anti-monopoly investigation into Google, signaling a broader pushback against U.S. businesses operating in China.

How China’s Tariffs Could Affect U.S. Consumers

Just as American tariffs could increase the price of imported goods, China’s retaliatory measures could disrupt supply chains and lead to cost increases in several industries:

Energy Prices: Tariffs on liquefied natural gas and crude oil could impact U.S. energy exports, potentially affecting gas prices at home.
Automobile Industry: With tariffs on large-displacement cars and pickup trucks, American automakers may see higher costs and reduced exports to China.
Manufacturing & Technology: Restrictions on tungsten and tellurium exports could disrupt U.S. production of electronics, solar panels, and military equipment.

The Bigger Picture: A New Trade War?

While Trump argues that tariffs will strengthen American manufacturing, China’s countermeasures indicate that the trade conflict may be far from over. Beijing has vowed to defend its economic interests, filing a complaint with the World Trade Organization (WTO) and warning that the U.S. tariffs undermine global trade stability.

Experts caution that if tensions continue to escalate, the two nations could see a return to the tit-for-tat trade war experienced during Trump’s first term, which strained global markets and increased costs for consumers. While negotiations between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping remain a possibility, the economic standoff could deepen if no resolution is reached.

Grocery Store Items That Could Become More Expensive

One of the most immediate effects of the tariffs will be seen at the grocery store, where the cost of imported food items is expected to increase. Here’s a list of everyday groceries that will see price hikes:

Fruits & Vegetables

Avocados – Mexico supplies a significant portion of avocados to the U.S., and the new tariffs will increase their cost.
Cherry Tomatoes – Another import from Mexico, cherry tomatoes are set to become more expensive.
Bananas – Imported primarily from Latin America, tariffs will make this popular fruit pricier.
Strawberries – Many of the strawberries sold in U.S. grocery stores come from Mexico.
Pineapples – With many tropical fruits being imported, expect a rise in prices for pineapples.
Squash & Cucumbers – These vegetables are also heavily imported from Mexico and will be affected.

Dairy & Meat Products

Ground Beef – The U.S. relies on beef imports, particularly from Canada and Mexico, meaning price increases are likely.
Cooking Oil – Many cooking oils, including canola and palm oil, are imported and subject to tariffs.
Nuts – Almonds, cashews, and other nuts that are imported will see higher prices.

Sweeteners & Condiments

Maple Syrup – Canada is a leading producer of maple syrup, and the tariff hike will directly impact its cost.
Sugar – Sugar imports will also be affected, leading to higher prices on many sweetened products.

Beyond the Grocery Store: Other Price Hikes to Expect

While food prices are an immediate concern, other everyday products will also see price increases due to the tariffs.

Beer, Liquor & Wine – The cost of alcohol will rise as tariffs impact imported ingredients and packaging materials.
Children’s Toys & Shoes – Many toys and shoes are made in China, meaning parents will have to pay more.
Gas & Oil – Tariffs on crude oil will lead to higher gas prices at the pump.
Cars & Auto Parts – Brands like BMW, Audi, Nissan, Mazda, and even American-owned Ford will see increased costs due to tariffs on steel and aluminum.

The Bigger Picture

As prices rise, American consumers may start to feel the squeeze in their daily spending. Businesses that rely on imported materials may also pass their increased costs onto consumers, making everything from home renovations to dining out more expensive.

While Trump argues that tariffs will strengthen American manufacturing, economists overwhelmingly warn that these trade barriers could slow economic growth and put pressure on working families.

As the new tariffs take effect, Americans should brace themselves for higher grocery bills and rising costs across multiple industries. Whether these trade policies will yield long-term economic benefits remains to be seen, but in the short term, they are already making life more expensive for the average shopper.

How to Save Money Amid Tariff Uncertainty

With uncertainty surrounding tariffs, it’s wise to take proactive steps to reduce spending. Here are some money-saving strategies:

Stock Up on Non-Perishable Goods – If you frequently purchase imported foods or household essentials, consider buying in bulk before potential price hikes.
Buy Local and Seasonal Produce – Support local farmers’ markets or stores that source from domestic producers to avoid import-related price increases.
Use Coupons and Cashback Apps – Apps like Ibotta, Rakuten, and store loyalty programs can help offset rising grocery costs.
Consider Store Brands – Generic or private-label products often come from the same manufacturers as name brands but at a lower cost.
Shop Around for Gas Deals – Use apps like GasBuddy to find the cheapest fuel prices in your area.
Delay Major Purchases If Possible – If you’re planning to buy a car, appliances, or electronics, waiting until trade tensions stabilize could save you money.
Look for Substitutes – If certain products become too expensive, explore alternative options. For example, switch from avocados to local greens or from imported cheese to domestic brands.

What’s Next?

The 30-day tariff pause provides temporary relief, but the possibility of increased tariffs still looms. Trump’s negotiations with Canada and Mexico will determine whether these trade barriers ultimately take effect, potentially impacting the economy and household budgets.

For now, you should stay informed and take strategic steps to minimize the impact of any future price hikes. Whether tariffs return or negotiations prevent them altogether, smart shopping and financial planning will help mitigate their effects.

By Cara Jones, BDO Staff Writer | Published February 4, 2025